IP estimator

The Imbalance Price Estimator calculates the reBAP on the basis of current operational data.

The four transmission system operators publish the Imbalance Price Estimator (IP estimator) on this page. This data point is an estimate of the cross-control area imbalance price (reBAP) based on operational data and is published no later than 30 minutes after the respective quarter hour.

The calculation logic follows the steps of the reBAP calculation. However, deviations may occur due to the use of operational data.

The table below provides statistical key figures for evaluating the quality of the IP estimator.

In addition to the estimate itself, a status is also provided which indicates which data could be taken into account in the calculation. The meaning of the various status messages can be found after the data of the IP estimator.

reBAP / IP estimator01.01.2023 - 31.01.2023

Mean valueMedian75%-Quantile90%-Quantile95%-Quantile
Absolute difference [EUR/MWh]9,260,381,637,3440,04
Relative to the absolute mean value5,69%0,23%1,00%4,51%24,60%
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StatusMeaning
0All data complete
1aFRR data incomplete*
2, 3aFRR data not available**
4mFRR data incomplete
5aFRR data incomplete; mFRR data incomplete
6, 7aFRR data not available; mFRR data incomplete
8mFRR data not available
9aFRR data incomplete; mFRR data not available
10, 11aFRR data not available; mFRR data not available
16IP Index not available
17aFRR data incomplete; IP Index not available
18, 19aFRR data not available; IP Index not available
20mFRR data incomplete; IP Index not available; IP Index not available
21aFRR data incomplete; mFRR data incomplete; IP Index not available
22, 23aFRR data not available; mFRR data incomplete; IP Index not available
24mFRR data not available; IP Index not available
25aFRR data incomplete; mFRR data not available; IP Index not available
26, 27aFRR data not available; mFRR data not available; IDAEP not available

*Incomplete standard performance data means that part of the data for the quarter of an hour is missing.

**Unavailable data means that the data set for the quarter of an hour is completely missing.

The IP estimator is not published for status 18, 19, 22, 23 and 26,27.